Wednesday, March 09, 2005

L.A. Observed On Exit Polls

L.A. Observed says, astutely:

The Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University did an exit poll yesterday. It overestimated Villaraigosa's total and had Hertzberg beating Hahn. That's why they count the votes.
Thank you.

Seriously, exit polls are so 2004.

Also, from the same L.A. Observed post, a link to Joel Kotkin's New Republic Article (just a clip here, need to be a subscriber for the full thing) saying Hertzberg's loss may signal bad news for L.A.'s middle class:

If these results hold, more revealing than who made it to the second round of balloting will be who didn't: former Assembly Speaker Bob Hertzberg. (Right now, Hertzberg trails Hahn by several thousand votes, with 99 percent of precincts reporting.) Hertzberg ran as the candidate of the city's middle class, tailoring his appeal largely to the San Fernando Valley, the city's most suburbanized area. He focused on issues like traffic, taxes, police protection, business growth, and dysfunctional schools--topics that are the chief concerns of middle-class homeowners. Yesterday Hertzberg won the bulk of these voters. The problem? Middle-class residents here may no longer have large enough ranks to elect one of their own to citywide office. This may have turned the famously energetic Hertzberg into the little engine that could not climb the demographic hill. Whatever the merits of the candidates in this particular election, one thing is clear: The underlying demographic factors that doomed Hertzberg's campaign spell bad news for Los Angeles, and for the American city in general. . . .

Say what?

Um, I've seen Jim Hahn's house - my kid sis went to elementary school across the street. I know I've taken issue with folks for trashtalking the P-house before - but to say that we're middle class is fairly accurate. Jim Hahn is the son of a lifelong public servant - hardly a cash-cow career. And, from what I recall of the last race and this one, Hahn campaigned on traffic, police protection, and a host of middle class issues. If anyone subscribes to The New Republic and can get me the whole article, I'd like to read it. As well as proof that any class other than middle carried the most electoral weight yesterday.

No comments: