Tuesday, June 29, 2004

So what you're saying is things don't look good

At least one columnist isn't afraid to remove the rosey shades and look into Iraq's probable future (and its recent past, for that matter):

What remains to be seen, of course, is what Allawi & Co. will do. Most likely, the country will revert back to being Iraq. That is, Bremer's improbable experiment in conservative utopianism - in which Americans who didn't speak Arabic force-fed Western-style institutions into the Iraqi body politic - will be quickly undone. . . . .

. . . Allawi's muscle is the Americans. But how long will that last? President George W. Bush swears that the U.S. military will stay "as long as necessary," but he might not be president for too much longer. Even if Bush is re-elected, how long will American forces stick it out in the face of continuing violence - all to prop up a regime that increasingly resembles the old one? Its promises notwithstanding, the United States is a fading presence in Afghanistan, where we seem content to let that country be divvied up by jihadists, warlords and opium dealers.

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